BLD Pulse
- Atlanta industrial | 8.5% vacancy Q2 WareCRE citing C&W, Atlanta Q2 2026
- Atlanta asks | $7.48/sf/yr Q2 WareCRE citing C&W, Atlanta Q2 2026
- Gypsum PPI | 484.844 August BLS gypsum PPI via FRED, August 2026
- Paint PPI | 430.779 August BLS Southeast PPI table, August 2026
- LA direct vacancy | 6.0% Q3 Kidder Mathews, Los Angeles Q3 2026
- Denver | advisory group named KUNC, October 8 Denver policy update
- Reno dam | draft-plan meeting 2 News Nevada, October 8 West Wash Dam
- Diesel | $6.199/gal Oct5 EIA October 6 release, October 5 observation
Executive snapshot
- Neutral Atlanta's C&W Q2 series, reported by WareCRE, shows 8.5% industrial vacancy, 2.1M sf net absorption and $7.48/sf/year NNN overall asking rent. These are not Q3 observations or effective rents. WareCRE citing C&W, Atlanta Q2 2026
- Cautious JLL's Atlanta page is labeled Q3 but explicitly describes Q2 conditions: 9.0% vacancy and 4.4M sf absorption. Editorial: use one broker series consistently rather than blend samples into an invented market trend. JLL Atlanta: Q2 data despite Q3 page title
- Cautious August gypsum-products PPI is 484.844 versus July 481.644, a calculated 0.66% monthly rise. It is a BLS national index, not a local installed drywall quote or a board-only measure. BLS gypsum PPI via FRED, August 2026
- Cautious Paints and allied products PPI rose from 425.690 in July to 430.779 in August, a calculated 1.20%. Editorial: separate coatings, labor, access, protection and finish requirements in buyout. BLS Southeast PPI table, August 2026
- Cautious Georgia PSC's September factsheet describes 9,985 MW of certified generation and a cost backstop through 2031. Certification and contractual protections are not proof that an Atlanta parcel has firm power available today. Georgia PSC, September 2026 factsheet
- Cautious Denver named a 26-member data-center advisory group amid its existing moratorium. KUNC reports pre-May permits are unaffected; extension remains possible, not enacted in this report. KUNC, October 8 Denver policy update
- Neutral Los Angeles Q3 industrial direct vacancy is 6.0%, versus 6.7% total vacancy including subleases. Average direct asking rent is $1.36/sf/month NNN; do not compare it directly with Atlanta's annual rate. Kidder Mathews, Los Angeles Q3 2026
- Neutral Reno seeks input on West Wash Dam rehabilitation, with an October 20 public meeting and draft environmental document. This is a planning milestone, not an awarded construction package. 2 News Nevada, October 8 West Wash Dam
- Positive Austin's The Barton is reported to have broken ground with 402 units; Houston's Coppertree Village completed a $26M renovation of 324 affordable units. These are separate development and completion stages. Multifamily & Affordable Housing, October 7–8 listings
Market movers
| Item | Change | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Gypsum products PPI | +0.66% m/m ▲ | Calculated July 481.644 to August 484.844; BLS index 1982=100, NSA. BLS gypsum PPI via FRED, August 2026 |
| Paints / allied PPI | +1.20% m/m ▲ | Calculated July 425.690 to August 430.779; preliminary national input index. BLS Southeast PPI table, August 2026 |
| Lumber PPI | -1.50% m/m ▼ | July 291.011 to August 286.633; not a delivered lumber quote. BLS Southeast PPI table, August 2026 |
| Atlanta asking rent | +4.5% y/y ▲ | Q2 overall $7.48/sf/year NNN in the C&W series reported by WareCRE. WareCRE citing C&W, Atlanta Q2 2026 |
| LA direct vacancy | +30 bp y/y ▲ | Q3 6.0% direct vacancy; total vacancy is separately 6.7%. Kidder Mathews, Los Angeles Q3 2026 |
| On-highway diesel | -$0.183/wk ▼ | October 5 national $6.199/gal, includes taxes; published October 6. EIA October 6 release, October 5 observation |
Sector outlooks
| Sector | Outlook | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial / logistics | Neutral | Atlanta Q2 7.3M sf under construction in C&W series; LA Q3 requires separate sample. WareCRE citing C&W, Atlanta Q2 2026 |
| Data centers | Cautious | Atlanta H1 2,882 MW under construction; not October energized capacity. CBRE North America data centers, H1 2026 |
| Multifamily | Positive | The Barton in Austin: 402-unit groundbreaking reported October 8. Multifamily & Affordable Housing, October 7–8 listings |
| Single-family | Neutral | August starts 918,000 SAAR; permits are separately 878,000. Census August housing, September 17 release |
| Retail | Positive | Cadia Village Matthews: Publix-anchored center groundbreaking reported October 7. Shopping Center Business, October development reports |
| Office / commercial | Cautious | Miami's Ursa plans 250,000 sf of office; construction expected in 2027, not started. REBusinessOnline, October 7–8 development reports |
| Public / infrastructure | Neutral | Reno West Wash Dam: draft-document consultation, no construction award verified. 2 News Nevada, October 8 West Wash Dam |
| Healthcare | Positive | Cush Medical Plaza in La Mesa: 52,600-sf medical-office groundbreaking reported October 8. REBusinessOnline, October 7–8 development reports |
Strategic watchlist
- Atlanta: retain Q2 labels until the chosen broker's Q3 release is verified; track occupancy conversion rather than simply adding signed leases. WareCRE citing C&W, Atlanta Q2 2026
- Finish-trade bids: request current local quotations, labor assumptions and mockup acceptance before applying a national PPI factor. BLS gypsum PPI via FRED, August 2026
- Reno: review the West Wash Dam draft and October 20 meeting materials; verify funding, permits and procurement separately. 2 News Nevada, October 8 West Wash Dam
- Duke: watch for the North Carolina commission's actual order. The reported agreement is not an effective tariff. WFAE, October 7 proposed Duke settlement
- Texas: October 14 water-audit reporting milestone is not a guaranteed reopening of interconnection or permit approvals. Latham & Watkins, October 5 Texas analysis
Top questions leaders should be asking
- Are our Atlanta underwriting inputs from the same broker, sample, period and rent convention?
- Does the finish-package scope define substrate, assembly, finish acceptance, access and protection?
- Which utility commitments transfer risk contractually, and which still depend on future approvals or construction?
- Are we treating a public meeting, financing, start, completion and lease as distinct pursuit stages?
- Who approves AI-extracted bid assumptions, and can every material change be traced to a document page?
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- WareCRE citing C&W, Atlanta Q2 2026
- JLL Atlanta: Q2 data despite Q3 page title
- BLS gypsum PPI via FRED, August 2026
- BLS Southeast PPI table, August 2026
- Georgia PSC, September 2026 factsheet
- KUNC, October 8 Denver policy update
- Kidder Mathews, Los Angeles Q3 2026
- 2 News Nevada, October 8 West Wash Dam
- Multifamily & Affordable Housing, October 7–8 listings
- WFAE, October 7 proposed Duke settlement