BLD Pulse
- Columbus vacancy | 4.7% Q3 CBRE Columbus Q3 2026, October 9
- Columbus pipeline | 14.4M sf Q3 CBRE Columbus Q3 2026, October 9
- Roofing products | +3.9% y/y Aug AGC compilation of BLS, August 2026
- Roofing contractors | +5.7% y/y Aug AGC compilation of BLS, August 2026
- Insulation | +1.1% y/y Aug AGC compilation of BLS, August 2026
- Raleigh | six-month pause ABC11, October 7 Raleigh vote report
- San Francisco | 45-day pause Mission Local, October 6; updated October 8
- Diesel | $6.199/gal Oct5 EIA October 6 release; October 5 observation
Executive snapshot
- Positive Columbus Q3 industrial vacancy fell 70 basis points to 4.7%; net absorption was 2.5M sf and construction underway reached 14.4M sf. Editorial: pursue the new pipeline selectively, with submarket and delivery-stage checks. CBRE Columbus Q3 2026, October 9
- Neutral CBRE reports Columbus asking rent at $7.07/sf. The summary does not state its time or lease-expense convention; do not compare it directly with another city's monthly NNN rent or treat it as effective rent. CBRE Columbus Q3 2026, October 9
- Cautious August prepared asphalt/tar roofing and siding PPI rose 0.5% monthly and 3.9% annually; insulation rose 0.5% and 1.1%. These are broad product categories, not a membrane-only or polyiso-only quotation. AGC compilation of BLS, August 2026
- Cautious Nonresidential roofing-contractor PPI rose 5.7% annually, versus 3.9% for roofing products. Editorial: examine labor, assembly and commercial terms rather than infer an installed-cost allowance from materials alone. AGC compilation of BLS, August 2026
- Cautious Ohio Power's published study tranche started October 1, after a September 30 application cutoff. A study timeline is not an energization promise; required infrastructure must be in place before service. Ohio Power data-center tariff and October study tranche
- Cautious Raleigh's six-month pause applies to facilities above 10,000 sf and took effect immediately, per ABC11. This city action is separate from Duke's pending statewide tariff settlement. ABC11, October 7 Raleigh vote report
- Cautious San Francisco adopted an immediate 45-day moratorium; longer restrictions remain possible, not enacted in the report. Editorial: check both entitlement and expansion exposure rather than assume existing campuses are exempt. Mission Local, October 6; updated October 8
- Positive Alexandria's Goodwin House Seminary Road broke ground October 7: a reported $360M, 257-unit senior-living project with a 2029 opening target. The target is not a guaranteed completion date. ALXnow, October 9 Goodwin Living
- Neutral Reno's city development table shows July data only: 11 new commercial permits and 54 single-family units receiving occupancy approval. Blank later months are unreported, not zero activity. City of Reno development data, July FY2026–27
Market movers
| Item | Change | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Prepared asphalt roofing / siding | +3.9% y/y ▲ | August 2026 BLS via AGC; monthly +0.5%. Not all roofing systems. AGC compilation of BLS, August 2026 |
| Insulation materials | +1.1% y/y ▲ | August 2026; monthly +0.5%. Broad category, not a polyiso quote. AGC compilation of BLS, August 2026 |
| Nonresidential roofing contractors | +5.7% y/y ▲ | August 2026 output-price index; monthly +0.3%, not a labor-rate index. AGC compilation of BLS, August 2026 |
| Sheet metal products | +6.8% y/y ▲ | August 2026; monthly +0.8%. Separate from installed metal-panel assemblies. AGC compilation of BLS, August 2026 |
| Columbus industrial vacancy | -70 bp q/q ▼ | Q3 4.7% in CBRE sample; 2.5M sf quarterly net absorption. CBRE Columbus Q3 2026, October 9 |
| On-highway diesel | -$0.183/wk ▼ | October 5 U.S. $6.199/gal including taxes; next release listed October 14. EIA October 6 release; October 5 observation |
Sector outlooks
| Sector | Outlook | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial / logistics | Positive | Columbus Q3 14.4M sf underway, with 445,000 sf delivered. CBRE Columbus Q3 2026, October 9 |
| Data centers | Cautious | Ohio Power study tranche is underway; infrastructure and contracts remain separate gates. Ohio Power data-center tariff and October study tranche |
| Multifamily | Positive | Dallas Torrington Forest: financing closed for 248 homes; October start expected, not verified. Connect CRE, October 2 Torrington Forest |
| Single-family | Neutral | Houston Braes Park: ordinance supports planned 144 homes; no start verified. Click2Houston, October 7 Braes Park |
| Office / commercial | Neutral | Miami Design District office/retail groundbreaking announced October 1. PROFILEmiami, October construction updates |
| Public / infrastructure | Neutral | Tampa pump-station Contracts A and C list October 13 openings; not awards. City of Tampa construction bid schedule |
| Healthcare | Positive | Alexandria's senior-living start includes assisted living and skilled nursing/memory care. ALXnow, October 9 Goodwin Living |
| Hospitality | Cautious | August lodging construction spending $24.862B SAAR, down 10.0% annually. Census August spending, October 1 release |
Strategic watchlist
- Columbus: test speculative delivery dates against tenant occupancy and utility commitments; do not double-count lease signing and absorption. CBRE Columbus Q3 2026, October 9
- Envelope buyout: request dated assembly-specific quotes, attachment and coating details, warranty conditions and installer qualifications. AGC compilation of BLS, August 2026
- Charlotte: verify the October 12 hearing outcome before treating a moratorium extension as approved. Charlotte legislative hearing agenda
- Tampa: confirm latest addenda and eligibility before the listed October 13 pump-station bid openings. City of Tampa construction bid schedule
- Reno: request later-month city data and project-specific permits; do not convert blank fields or a solar announcement into a citywide construction count. City of Reno development data, July FY2026–27
Top questions leaders should be asking
- Which Columbus opportunities have a funded scope, an actual start and utility commitments rather than only a market forecast?
- Are roofing bids equalized for the complete assembly, attachments, penetrations, drainage, warranty and access?
- Which price changes are national indices, which are local quotations, and when does each quote expire?
- Does each permit, utility and financing statement identify its authority, status, effective date and unresolved conditions?
- Who verifies the AI-generated envelope variance register before a human releases procurement or accepts an alternate?
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- CBRE Columbus Q3 2026, October 9
- AGC compilation of BLS, August 2026
- Ohio Power data-center tariff and October study tranche
- ABC11, October 7 Raleigh vote report
- Mission Local, October 6; updated October 8
- ALXnow, October 9 Goodwin Living
- City of Reno development data, July FY2026–27
- Census August spending, October 1 release
- City of Tampa construction bid schedule
- National Law Review, October 5 California analysis